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We develop a two-sector monetary model with a centralized and decentralized market. Activities in the centralizedmarket resemble those in a standard New Keynesian economy with price rigidities. In the...
Ináation expectations have recently received increased interest because of the uncertainty created by the Federal Reserveís unprecedented reaction to the Great Recession.The effect of this reaction on...
We document cross-country dierences in informal activity, government policies and institutions using a data set covering 118 countries. Five key facts emerge: better institutions are associated with l...
We study optimal fiscal and monetary policy in an environment where explicit frictions giverise to valued money, making money essential in the sense that it expands the set of feasible trades. The two...
The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, th...
In standard macroeconomic models incorporating the natural rate hypothesis and rational expectations, monetary policy has no effect on real variables. But the rational expectations assumption that e...
The potential of monetary policy to stabilize fluctuations in output and employment is demonstrated in a stochastic rational expectations model in which firms choose, considering average profitabili...
This paper is a sumaary of remarks for a panel discussion on "Rational Expectations and the Control of the Econcatym. After a brief review of the major issues in this area, it is argued that the c...
An Econometric Business Cycle Model with Rational Expectations: Policy Evaluation Results.
During the past decade the theoretical framework underlying macroeconomic stabilization analysis has undergone a number of significant developments. Theories designed to explain the crucial linkage ...
On the Possibility and Desirability of Stabilization Policy: A Comment.
Review of Macroeconomic Analysis and Stabilization Policy by Stephen J. Turnovsky.
There are a number of reasons for this new emphasis. Increased attention to expectations has led to the need to specify future as well as current policy actions and hence to the specification of pol...
The criterion of economic performance used in this study is magnitude of fluctuations in inflation and output around longer term secular trends. The secular trends themselves are not the immediate f...
There has probably never been a consensus among economists about the role of expectations in formulating monetary policy. Today two widely different views seem to dominate policy research and practi...

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