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We first document a large secular shift in the estimated response of the entire term structure of interest rates to inflation and output in the United States. The shift occurred in the early 1980s. W...
The Administration’s plan for financial regulatory reform would grant the Federal Reserve significant new powers—more powers than ever before in American history. The Federal Reserve would have the ...
To honor Martin Feldstein抯 distinguished leadership and extraordinary contributions to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the Feldstein Lecture addresses an important question in applied econ...
The recent increase came about as a direct result of the Fed’s decision to purchase securities and make loans to certain sectors and financial institutions. More specifically, the Fed financed these...
A decade ago in a paper, “Reassessing Discretionary Fiscal Policy,” published in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, I concluded that “in the current context of the US economy, it seems best to ...
These remarks examine the implications of the global financial crisis for monetary policy. I speak mainly from the perspective of monetary policy in the United States where I have done most of my re...
Does the Crisis Experience Call for a New Paradigm in Monetary Policy?
This article reviews the role of monetary and fiscal policy in the financial crisis and draws lessons for future macroeconomic policy. It shows that policy deviated from what had worked well in the ...
I am honored to give this lecture in memory of L.K. Jha. It is a particular privilege to deliver it at this Platinum Jubilee celebration of the Reserve Bank of India. L. K. Jha was a truly outstandi...
Trade-offs in Monetary Policy     Trade-offs  Monetary Policy       2015/8/3
Trade-offs in Monetary Policy.
Commentary: Monetary Policy after the Fall.
Aldrich blamed the Federal Reserve’s easy-money policies of the 1920s for helping to cause the Great Depression. In the late ’40s, he was concerned that the Fed would monetize the enormous World War...
This lecture starts with a review of historical trends in the balance between rules and discretion: first toward more discretionary policies in the 1960s and 1970s; second toward more rules-based po...
A number of years ago I proposed a simple rule as a guideline for monetary policy.1 I made no suggestion then that the rule should be written into law, or even that it be used to monitor policy, or ...
This paper focuses on simple normative rules for monetary policy that central banks can use to guide their interest rate decisions. Such rules were first derived from research on empirical monetary ...

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