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Another 'futile quest'? A simulation study of Yang and Land's Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort model
age period cohort models identification problem MCMC simulation Yang and Land
2014/11/26
Background: Whilst some argue that a solution to the age-period-cohort (APC) 'identification problem' is impossible, numerous methodological solutions have been proposed, including Yang and Land's Hie...
Projecting Complete Cohort Fertility in Singapore (Demographers' Notebook)
Cohort Fertility Singapore
2009/4/10
The discussion concerning fertility in Singapore during the post-Second World War period has been confined to consideration of the reduction in total period fertility. Although a focus on period ferti...
Found in translation? A cohort perspective on tempo-adjusted life expectancy
cohort life expectancy cohort-period translation life tables mathematical demography mortality tempo effects
2008/12/11
What does tempo-adjusted period life expectancy measure? Taking a cohort perspective, I show that under conditions of constant linear mortality shifts the tempo-adjusted period indicator translates ex...
Changing mortality and average cohort life expectancy
cohort life expectancy cross-sectional average length of life (CAL) life expectancy mortality mortality tempo period life expectancy
2008/12/11
Period life expectancy varies with changes in mortality, and should not be confused with the life expectancy of those alive during that period. Given past and likely future mortality changes, a recent...
On the relationship between period and cohort mortality
life expectancy life span mortality tempo-adjusted life expectancy
2008/12/11
In this paper I explore the formal relationship between period and cohort mortality, focusing on a comparison of measures of mean lifespan. I consider not only the usual measures (life expectancy at b...
Educational differentials in male mortality in Russia and northern Europe A comparison of an epidemiological cohort from Moscow and St. Petersburg with the male populations of Helsinki and Oslo
education mortality Russia Scandinavia
2008/12/9
Background: Prior estimates of the Russian mortality by socio-demographic group revealed significant differentials around the censuses of 1979 and 1989, but these studies were based on different sourc...
The effects of shocks in early life mortality on later life expectancy and mortality compression: A cohort analysis
cohort effects early life conditions mortality
2010/4/6
I study how shocks in cohort-level early life conditions, as represented by deviations from trend in mortality before age 5, affect later mortality. I use data for six European countries and find that...
An international comparative study on the use of the Cohort Component Method for estimating national populations
An international comparative study the Cohort Component Method national populations
2010/1/20
This comparative study explores the use of the Cohort Component Method to produce national level population estimates. This method is used annually to calculate mid-year population estimates for Engla...