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We explore conditions under which trade agreements can provide gains by reducing trade-policy uncertainty. Given the degree of income risk aversion, this is more likely when economies are more open, e...
Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty:Theory and Firm Evidence
Investment Trade Uncertainty Policy Agreements
2015/9/22
Using a dynamic, heterogeneous firms model with sunk costs of exporting we show that: (i) investment and entry into export markets is reduced when trade policy is uncertain and (ii) credible preferent...
Policy Uncertainty, Trade and Welfare:Theory and Evidence for China and the U.S.
Policy Uncertainty Trade Welfare China the U.S.
2015/9/22
We examine the impact of policy uncertainty on trade and real income through firms’ export investments in general equilibrium. We quantify the trade policy causes and welfare effects of China’s export...
Published macroeconomic data traditionally exclude most intangible investment from measured GDP.
This situation is beginning to change, but our estimates suggest that as much as $800 billion is still...
Poor Quality Drugs and Global Trade: A Pilot Study
prescription drug quality international trade Africa India.
2015/9/21
Experts claim that some Indian drug manufacturers cut corners and make substandard drugs for markets
with non-existent, under-developed or emerging regulatory oversight, notably Africa. This paper a...
Every new method of trade offers an opportunity for economic agents to compare its costs
and benefits relative to the status quo. Such comparison motivates sorting across market
segments...
This paper was funded by the Labor Project for Working Families through a grant
from the David and Lucile Packard Foundation. Michael Reich, Ph.D., Professor
of Economics at University of California...
A Stochastic Model of Mortality, Fertility, and Human Capital Investment
Uncertainty Precautionary demand Quality-Quantity trade off
2015/9/21
This paper examines the relationship between fertility and human capital investment,
and it’s implications for economic growth, focusing on the effects of declining mortality.
Unlike the exist...
Testimony before the Joint Economic Committee: “Income Inequality in the United States”
Economic Committee the United States
2015/9/21
Chairman Brady, Vice Chair Klobuchar, and other distinguished members of the Joint Economic
Committee, thank you for inviting me to participate in today’s hearing, “Income Inequality in the
United S...
Trends in U.S. Wage Inequality: Re-Assessing the Revisionists
U.S. Wage Inequality Re-Assessing the Revisionists
2015/9/21
We are particularly grateful to Daron Acemoglu, Josh Angrist, Paul Devereux, Francis Kramarz, Thomas
Lemieux, Derek Neal and participants at the NBER Summer Institute, the Society of Labor Economists...
Measuring Capital and Technology An Expanded Framework
Expanded Framework Measuring Capital and Technolog
2015/9/21
The last two hundred years have witnessed dramatic gains in the standard
of living in the United States, driven by the technological innovations introduced by the Industrial Revolution and carried fo...
Paper prepared for the Handbook of the Economics of Innovation, Bronwyn H. Hall and Nathan Rosenberg
(eds.), Elsevier-North Holland, in process. I would like to thank the many people that commented
...
Colonial Americans were very poor by today’s standard of poverty. On
the eve of the American Revolution, GDP per capita in the United States
stood at approximately $765 (in 1992 dollars).1 Incomes r...
Why Development Levels Differ: The Sources of Differential Economic Growth in a Panel of High and Low Income Countries
Differential Economic Growth Levels Differ
2015/9/21
Average income per capita in the countries of the OECD was more than 20 times
larger in 2000 than that of the poorest developing countries. Two general explanations have been
offered to account fo...
DOES INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INCREASE TH PRODUCTIVITY OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY IN THE U.S.?
INVESTMENT INCREASE INFRASTRUCTURE
2015/9/21
The American South started the post World War II era as the poorest region
of the country. Per capita disposable income was less than 70 percent of the
national level and the South produced less tha...